Worlds top global mega trends to 2025 and implications to. Individual empowerment majority of world s population wont be impoverished. However, the combination of trends, game changers, and alternative worlds provides sufficient breadth of analysis to give any critic an idea of how alternative global scenarios may arise. In depth research, detailed modeling and a variety of analytical tools drawn from public, private and academic sources. Alternative worlds is a draft report being prepared by the us national intelligence council to be released after the presidential election, in december 2012. Global marine technology trends 2030, released on monday, is the culmination of a collaborative project between lloyds register, qinetiq and the university of southampton. The european strategy and policy analysis system espas provides a framework for cooperation and consultation at administrative level, on a voluntary basis, between the european parliament, the european commission, the council of the european union, and the european external action service, with the committee of the regions and the european economic and social committee as observers, to work. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the.
Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 15. Dec 01, 2012 looks at global trends including aging demographics, technology advancements, global warming, resources constraints, population increases, the dimension centrality of the us, and other trends to project out what the world will be like in 2030. Global marine technology trends 2030 by lloyds register. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence councils nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future as with previous editions, the national intelligence council hopes that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. Diversifying approaches to governance gmt 11 european. Whats especially interesting about global trends 2030 is that it culminates in a section called alternative worlds. As with previous editions, the national intelligence council hopes that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential. Looks at global trends including aging demographics, technology advancements, global warming, resources constraints, population increases, the dimension centrality of the us, and other trends to project out what the world will be like in 2030. Pressure is rising as we see increasing competition for resources e. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during.
This report describes the outcomes from a csiro global foresight project. Govt report predicts cyborgs, rise of china for 2030. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030. Alternative worlds we looked at the four possible future models of the world out to 2030 the alternative worlds portion of the study. Will the international monetary fund imf and world bank exist in 2030. Global trends 2030 reports of all possible future worlds. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. Deloitte ports industry global trends in the ports industry 17 each driver represents a shift in demographics, society, technology, or the economy that impacts the future. According to global trends 2030, the precise trajectory of the future. The socioeconomic progress of recent centuries has been accompanied by a steady evolution in systems of governance, i. Social trends 182 gen y phenomenon 185 sheconomy 186 aging population 189 the middle bulge 191 working age demographic dividend 193 geosocialization 194 heterogeneous society 195 macrotomicro implications of evolving social trends 197. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about.
After 107 pages of snazzy infographics on globalized workflows, widespread aging, and the advantages and disadvantages of a multipolar global economy, the experts depict four possible futures using scenario narratives. Alternative worlds summary theme major trends ancillary trends megatrends individual empowerment reduction of poverty expanding global middle class narrowing education and gender gaps innovations in communications technologies improving health. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence. Dec 07, 2014 however, the combination of trends, game changers, and alternative worlds provides sufficient breadth of analysis to give any critic an idea of how alternative global scenarios may arise. It also critiques it on grounds that include failing to learn from feedback on the 2005 report, over.
This year, principal author mathew burrows and his colleagues focus on a series of plausible. Arguably, darker scenarios are imaginable, including a complete breakdown and reversal of globalization due to a potential large. The world of 2030 will be radically transformed from our world today. Bill burkewhite what will be the shape of the united nations security council unsc in 2030. Ambient computing, smarter devices, cybersecurity and ethics, and information and analytics. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed. In this seminal report, csiro futures identified six social, economic and environmental megatrends that will have a major impact on australia over the next 20 years. Govt report predicts cyborgs, rise of china for 2030 slashdot. As the title of the national intelligence council s nic capstone publication suggests, this look at possible alternative worlds is the essence of the study.
In all four of the alternative visions of the future, u. Dec, 2012 nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges. It presents six megatrends that will have a major impact on australia over the next 20 years. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. Slaughter1 abstract the article acknowledges some of the strengths of the nic report such as its use of scenarios. T he world of 2030 will be radically potential black swansdiscrete eventswould transformed from our world today. Alternative worlds, the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges. Jan 11, 20 whats especially interesting about global trends 2030 is that it culminates in a section called alternative worlds. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. New health technologies will continue to extend the average age of populations around the world, ameliorate debilitating physical and mental conditions, and improve overall wellbeing. Burrows, counselor to the national intelligence council, discusses the global trends 2030.
Peter groen take the time to look over the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils nic series of reports aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future entitled global trends 2030. Underpinning the megatrends are tectonic shifts critical changes to key features of our global environment that will affect how the world. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. Alternative worlds report released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. Leadership in a postwestern world live stream watch leaders in a twoday conference examine the future direction of the world december 11, 2012. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by. A transformative industrial and technological revolution. Will the international monetary fund imf and world bank exist. According to policymakers in the us, eu, russia, and nato, trends may bend in many potential directions, ranging from the rise of technologically empowered individuals. Global trends, values, and ethics is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years.
Burrows, counselor, us national intelligence council. The goal of the report is to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew. All such very likely developments, in part within the 2030 time horizon, will require a kind of global leviathan enforcing limitations on development and use of dangerous or disruptibe technologies worldwide with very radical implications for global governance not coped with in the relevant publication. Instead of a set of cassandralike forecasts of doom or a pollyannaish burst of optimism, global trends 2030 offers a balanced presentation on how the world. The 4 technologydriven aces trends are reinforcing each other and.
Alternativeworldsa publication of the national intelligence. Overview of the national intelligence council report on. Alternative worlds leads with the stalled engines alternative world a scenario in which the united states and europe turn inward and globalization stalls as one of its bookends, illustrating the most plausible worstcase scenario. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. By 2030, the global talent shortage could reach 85. Some people, especially those in affected countries, will notice one or the other, or perhaps several of these trends, but only in global trends 2030 do we see them compiled and connected. Global mega slums in 2025 180 macrotomicro implications 181 mega trend 9. Cia global trends 2030 by exopolitics hungary issuu. T he world of 2030 will be radically potential black swansdiscrete. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030. Individual empowerment majority of worlds population wont be impoverished. In india and china natural energy and water resources are scarce. Food wastage is a growing problem and developing a farmtomarket supply chain is evolving.
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